Bajaj Finance Share 2025 – Forecast, Returns, Investment Strategy & Future Outlook

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July 25, 2025

Bajaj Finance Share 2025: A Comprehensive Guide for Investors

Bajaj Finance Ltd., one of India’s top-performing non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), has emerged as a cornerstone of retail and SME credit in India. Known for its innovative digital ecosystem and consistent financial growth, it has become a popular investment option for long-term investors. In this article, we will analyze Bajaj Finance’s stock performance, financials, shareholding, peer comparisons, and most importantly—its 5-year future outlook to determine whether it’s still a good buy in 2025 and beyond.

1. Company Overview

  • Founded: 1987

  • Headquarters: Pune, Maharashtra

  • Parent Organization: Bajaj Finserv Ltd.

  • CEO & MD: Sanjiv Bajaj

  • Core Business Segments: Consumer durable finance, SME loans, gold loans, rural lending, deposits, insurance, and digital lending.

The company’s strong focus on digital transformation and technology-backed financial services has positioned it as a formidable fintech-NBFC hybrid.

2. Bajaj Finance Share Price Performance Snapshot (as of July 2025)

MetricValue
Current Share Price₹7,200
52-Week High / Low₹7,560 / ₹5,480
Market Capitalization₹4.3 Lakh Crore
Price-to-Earnings (P/E)~30x
Dividend Yield0.38%
Return on Equity (RoE)22.5%
Earnings per Share₹245 (TTM)

Bajaj Finance’s share price has shown resilience and steady growth, even amid broader market volatility.

3. Financial Performance: FY24 vs FY25

ParameterQ1 FY25Q4 FY24YoY Growth
Revenue₹12,820 Cr₹11,960 Cr+16.5%
Net Profit₹3,910 Cr₹3,590 Cr+15.3%
Net Interest Margin10.9%10.5%Stable
Gross NPA1.14%1.26%Improved
Assets Under Mgmt₹3.08 L Cr₹2.94 L Cr+13.6%

Solid performance in revenue and profit growth indicates sustainable operations.

4. Strategic Growth Drivers

  • Digital-First Expansion: 75%+ loans sourced digitally

  • EMI Cards: Over 4 crore users

  • Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL): Growing rapidly through e-commerce partnerships

  • Geographic Reach: Deep penetration into Tier 3 and 4 cities

  • Customer Base: Over 8.3 crore active users

5. Shareholding Pattern (as of June 2025)

CategoryPercentage Held
Promoters55.8%
FIIs/FPIs18.4%
Mutual Funds12.6%
Retail Investors10.3%
Others2.9%

Strong promoter and institutional holding shows long-term confidence in the company.

6. SWOT Analysis

Strengths:

  • Strong digital ecosystem

  • High-quality, diversified loan book

  • Low NPA and strong RoE

  • Brand trust and scalability

Weaknesses:

  • High valuations

  • Sensitive to regulatory and interest rate changes

Opportunities:

  • Rural lending and financial inclusion

  • Expansion in wealth management and insurance

Threats:

  • Fintech competition

  • Macroeconomic volatility

7. Future Insight: 5-Year Growth Forecast (2025–2030)

YearExpected RevenueNet Profit (Est.)EPS TargetShare Price Estimate
FY26₹56,000 Cr₹14,500 Cr₹280₹8,200 – ₹8,500
FY27₹64,000 Cr₹16,200 Cr₹310₹9,000 – ₹9,400
FY30₹90,000+ Cr₹23,000+ Cr₹420+₹11,000 – ₹12,000

Projections are based on a conservative CAGR of 14–16%, historical valuation trends, and industry growth.

Will It Gain or Lose?

Gain Factors:

  • Consistent revenue and AUM growth

  • Digital dominance

  • Favorable demographics and credit penetration in India

Possible Risk Factors:

  • Global recession

  • RBI regulations tightening

  • High interest rate cycle

Despite these risks, Bajaj Finance has a strong foundation and is projected to offer 40–60% growth in stock price over 5 years.

8. Peer Comparison: 2025 Snapshot

CompanyP/E RatioRoEAUMGross NPAMarket Cap
Bajaj Finance30x22.5%₹3.08 L Cr1.14%₹4.3 L Cr
HDFC Ltd28x18.9%₹6.1 L Cr1.2%₹6.9 L Cr
Muthoot Finance18x16.5%₹0.8 L Cr1.6%₹0.6 L Cr
SBI Cards36x15.1%₹0.9 L Cr2.1%₹1.1 L Cr

Bajaj Finance holds its edge in digital infrastructure and customer penetration.

9. Investment Strategy

Investment Horizon: Ideal for 3–10 year investors

Minimum Capital Required: ₹7,200 for 1 share. Investors can also use SIP or fraction investing methods for small monthly contributions.

Ways to Invest:

  • Via Demat account through brokers like Zerodha, Upstox, Groww, etc.

  • Direct Mutual Fund SIPs with exposure to Bajaj Finance

Investor Tip: Invest in market dips and avoid chasing rallies.

Profit Calculator Example:

  • Investment Today: ₹72,000 (10 shares)

  • Expected Value in 5 Years: ₹1,10,000 – ₹1,20,000

  • Return: 52% – 66%

Conclusion

Bajaj Finance is not just a stock—it’s a long-term value play for serious investors. With its strong fundamentals, growth-oriented digital strategy, and proven management, the stock is expected to outperform its peers over the next 5 years. If you’re planning for wealth creation with calculated risk, this stock deserves a core place in your portfolio.

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